Democrats have placed themselves in an untenable position. They’ve been trying to take out Judge Brett Kavanaugh with a lot of machinations in order to try to block Trump filling the seat and playing to their leftist base. But that has exposed how they are willing to do anything to derail the confirmation – lie, delay and smear – and that’s not endearing them to Americans, especially those in red states. But some of the Democrats are facing tight races in those red states and Democrats need those seats if they want to flip the Senate. But it’s not looking good for them.
Polls were already showing that Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MI) had lost ground to her Republican opponent Josh Hawley and that he’s now leading in the race.
But now it’s happening elsewhere as well in tightening races in Indiana and West Virginia, as well as in North Dakota where Sen. Heidi Heitkamp has fallen further behind her GOP opponent, Rep. Kevin Cramer.
She had been four points down, based upon the last poll taken in June. But that was within the margin of error.
But now that’s increased.
From Daily Wire:
A new poll shows Republican challenger Rep. Kevin Cramer leading Sen. Heidi Heitkamp by a 10- point margin, with North Dakotans overwhelmingly in favor of confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court.
“Losing a race in North Dakota would make it significantly more difficult for Democrats to retake the Senate,” reports the outlet. “The poll, from Mason Dixon and North Dakota’s NBC affiliate, shows Cramer opening up a 51% to 41% lead over the Democratic incumbent.”
More importantly, the poll shows that Kavanaugh enjoys a full 60% approval rating by Heitkamp’s constituents, with only 27% opposed to him. Worse still, 21% say the confirmation of Kavanaugh is their top issue. If this trend continues across the board, especially if Democrats manage to keep the seat open through obstruction and delay, the empty SCOTUS seat could be a rallying point for Republicans come the midterms, an effect similar to when Scalia’s untimely death left a seat open for the election of 2016.
And holding North Dakota is critical to their plan.
If they lose that, they would have to hold everywhere else, win in Arizona and Nevada, and take either Texas or Tennessee. And that’s what all the delay is about. But if they don’t flip the Senate, they wouldn’t control power and can’t block Trump nominees or push for impeachment of anyone.
Heitkamp has continued to remain undecided in her vote on Kavanaugh, further fueling the delay tactic among Democrats. She joins several other red-state Democrats who face tough reelection campaigns in the midst of the Kavanaugh circus. Some, like Sens. Joe Donnelly of Indiana and Jon Tester of Montana, have elected to roll the dice by announcing their “No” votes. Others, like Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia, where Kavanaugh enjoys 59% approval, have elected to remain on the fence until the final vote on the Senate floor. Sen. Claire McCaskill of Missouri now trails her opponent by two points.
So forcing them to vote “no” on Kavanaugh may not have them win on him and may cost them the Senate as well.